Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 131.585984 151.718823 175.013788 204.225580 240.254634 283.740030 3.409757e+02
2025-05-18 102.079032 126.426964 157.511835 201.050723 262.052200 347.080101 4.796000e+02
2025-05-25 87.523340 113.619898 149.214896 203.101762 286.063884 415.519340 6.481901e+02
2025-06-01 76.930482 103.423715 141.411540 202.520134 304.077171 478.512970 8.352158e+02
2025-06-08 68.407391 94.518672 133.472124 199.306396 315.971283 533.889642 1.036014e+03
2025-06-15 64.124127 91.067294 132.910274 207.349302 348.637843 638.359908 1.406921e+03
2025-06-22 57.187072 82.617439 123.122591 197.592031 345.470300 668.604279 1.617252e+03
2025-06-29 52.915211 77.846194 118.643934 196.379530 358.673687 740.022758 2.004587e+03
2025-07-06 49.404084 73.897863 114.991644 195.956278 373.295747 821.001679 2.507104e+03
2025-07-13 48.180476 73.573054 117.528845 207.915903 418.721306 1005.418674 3.665086e+03
2025-07-20 47.430695 73.940538 121.302636 223.077183 476.760618 1263.331061 5.729017e+03
2025-07-27 45.027211 71.160591 118.844459 224.417942 500.029770 1424.175257 7.695493e+03
2025-08-03 42.711327 68.565359 116.898862 227.714853 533.463083 1663.363507 1.144112e+04
2025-08-10 39.842790 64.736611 112.159997 223.919842 546.299305 1838.613524 1.584771e+04
2025-08-17 37.890237 62.413614 110.148432 226.283786 579.399459 2144.073956 2.530590e+04
2025-08-24 35.872491 59.774065 107.153283 225.612732 602.787892 2434.094426 3.998451e+04
2025-08-31 33.808136 56.865524 103.258544 221.906680 614.682255 2680.930452 6.147959e+04
2025-09-07 32.948070 56.226473 104.160704 231.186877 678.840048 3374.048238 1.541609e+05
2025-09-14 30.657617 52.566623 98.026465 219.930831 658.750283 3429.737482 2.106773e+05
2025-09-21 29.258594 50.599964 95.498919 218.533876 679.179069 3864.958884 4.673848e+05
2025-09-28 28.035914 48.900033 93.404655 218.046331 703.885184 4406.393385 1.413771e+06
2025-10-05 27.789138 49.180712 95.906762 231.841291 801.254395 6019.240911 1.275384e+08
2025-10-12 27.713899 49.809071 99.309499 249.383286 930.933592 8760.302754 NaN